Can Broadcom Compete with AI Leader NVIDIA?
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As of last Friday's closing, the world of technology witnessed the rise of yet another trillion-dollar chip company in the United States: BroadcomOn that day, Broadcom's stock surged over 24%, propelling its market value to an impressive one trillion dollarsThis milestone positions Broadcom as the third semiconductor company worldwide to surpass this significant benchmark, following giants like Nvidia and TSMC.
The semiconductor industry is increasingly focusing on customized AI chips, particularly as companies pivot towards cloud computing solutions tailored for artificial intelligence applicationsThis shift suggests that tech behemoths may find it feasible to lessen their reliance on Nvidia's prominent GPU chips, valued at around $3.3 trillion currentlyYet, some industry analysts caution that Nvidia's AI chip market, predominantly grounded in general-purpose GPUs, still offers substantial growth potential.
Broadcom's recently reported financial results, which were better than analysts had anticipated, played a pivotal role in this stock surge
The company's full-year performance indicated that it generated $51.6 billion in revenue during the 2024 fiscal year, representing a staggering 44% year-over-year increaseWithin this impressive growth narrative, two business segments stand out: AI and VMware, with VMware being a company that Broadcom acquired a few years back to solidify its presence in the cloud computing landscapeLooking ahead, Broadcom projects its revenue for Q1 of the 2025 fiscal year to reach approximately $14.6 billion, reflecting a 22% uptick from the previous year.
The expansion of Broadcom's semiconductor business, particularly in AI and networking solutions, has been a significant catalyst for the company's growth trajectoryFor the 2024 fiscal year, Broadcom anticipates generating between $15 billion to $20 billion in AI-related revenue, with over $12 billion derived from customized AI chips (ASICs) and networking devices used in data centers
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A major driver of this revenue surge has been the heightened demand from hyperscale customers, such as Google.
According to Omdia’s semiconductor research director, He Hui, "Almost all cloud service providers require Broadcom's ASIC chip services for their self-developed chips," which includes prominent artificial intelligence development platforms based in ChinaCurrently, Google and Meta are among Broadcom's largest clients for ASIC custom chipsRecent reports have indicated that Apple is developing dedicated server chips for AI and collaborating with Broadcom to advance networking technology for this initiative, with full-scale production expected by 2026.
Furthermore, it was reported in June that ByteDance, the parent company of TikTok, is also working with Broadcom to develop custom AI chips to ensure a steady supply of high-end chipsWhile Broadcom has not confirmed these collaborations directly, their partnership with ByteDance has been ongoing since at least 2022, as evidenced by their joint ventures involving Broadcom's Tomahawk 5-nanometer high-performance switching chips and equipment designed for AI computing clusters.
He Hui further noted that the trend of tech giants developing in-house chips is accelerating, which increasingly helps them reduce dependency on Nvidia’s high-end chips
Given the current U.Sexport restrictions impacting sales to China, ASICs seem to be exempt from these limitations, allowing Broadcom to benefit continuing from this gapBroadcom's business started experiencing substantial growth thanks to AI, and this is becoming increasingly apparent in their revenue figures.
In light of the U.Sexport controls, Nvidia's revenue share from the Chinese market has plummeted from roughly 24% in fiscal 2019 to about 13% todayMeanwhile, Broadcom's stock has doubled in value this year, with the company expecting the demand for its custom AI chips to rise significantly in the coming yearsDuring a recent earnings call, CEO Chen Fu-Yang projected that the AI market could generate between $60 billion and $90 billion in revenue for Broadcom by the 2027 fiscal year.
As Broadcom moves forward with the development of more AI chips, there is rising concern among market investors about the potential decline in Nvidia's chip demand
However, insiders stress that Nvidia's focus has been primarily on general-purpose GPUs, which vastly differ from the specialized nature of custom ASIC chipsAccording to He Hui, "ASIC chips are typically developed for specific functions or tasks tailored to particular clients; they are generally utilized for internal purposes, making their impact on Nvidia’s overall demand less significant." Yet, she also acknowledged that Nvidia could face some competition moving forward.
Besides their advancements in AI ASIC technology, Broadcom possesses a formidable advantage in its networking business—a key reason why many giants are eager to partner with the companyOver four years ago, Nvidia made a huge leap by acquiring Mellanox Technologies for $6.9 billion, positioning itself firmly within the networking technology sectorWith Nvidia dominating the GPU market and Mellanox leading the high-speed Ethernet and networking device arenas, their merger has profoundly affected the supercomputing, AI, and internet markets.
Nvidia's co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang remarked that the merger would accelerate innovation and emphasized the company's intention to collaborate with various partners including Broadcom and Cisco to enhance computational capabilities
With the integration of proprietary networking protocols like NV LINK technology and the acquisition of Mellanox, Nvidia built a substantial competitive edge beyond its CUDA software.
The NV LINK technology, recognized for its high speed and low latency, is currently three times faster than the traditional PCIe Gen 5 standard, allowing for rapid data sharing between GPUsThis advancement significantly accelerates computational tasks and enhances parallel computing efficienciesFurthermore, it optimizes data exchange between GPUs and CPUs, enriching system flexibility and scalability while boosting energy efficiency.
The robust connectivity of NV LINK has created a resilient ecosystem around Nvidia GPU clustersConsequently, when the Chinese National Market Supervision Administration approved Nvidia's acquisition of Mellanox, it imposed several restrictive conditions to ensure fair market practices.
According to the announcement by the Market Supervision Administration, the conditions required Nvidia to avoid bundling sales of GPU accelerators with Mellanox's high-speed networking devices and mandated that they maintain interoperability with third-party devices