Broadcom Soars 38% as Nvidia Enters Correction
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In a remarkable turn of events last Friday, Broadcom's market capitalization surged past the $1 trillion mark, registering an astonishing 24% increase in a single dayThis momentum carried over into Monday, where Broadcom experienced an additional rise of over 11%, closing at $250 per share and reaching an intraday peak of $251.88, a historic high driven by Wall Street's raised price targets for the company.
In stark contrast, Nvidia's stock price faced a decline on the same dayThe shares dipped nearly 3% during the trading session, ultimately closing down approximately 1.7% at $132. This decline represents a drop of about 4.5% since December alone and more than 11% from last month's close of $148.88, officially entering a correction territory—defined as a 10% or greater drop from a historical closing high.
When considering the performance throughout the year, Nvidia's stock has appreciated around 165%, while Broadcom's shares have risen approximately 120%. Both firms have greatly outperformed the broader U.S
market, with the Nasdaq index climbing roughly 34% year-to-date.
The recent surge in Broadcom's stock can largely be attributed to the company's better-than-expected earnings report released last Thursday, alongside an optimistic outlook for the first quarterBenefiting from the boom in generative artificial intelligence (AI), Broadcom's revenue from AI-related products skyrocketed by 220% year-over-year, reaching $12.2 billion.
Broadcom’s custom AI accelerator, dubbed the XPU, stands apart from the GPUs offered by NvidiaThe company reported a doubling of XPU shipments to three major clients during the last quarterAlthough Broadcom has not publicly disclosed the identities of these clients, analysts speculate that they likely include tech giants like Meta, Alphabet (Google’s parent company), and ByteDance (the parent company of TikTok).
Analysts from Wall Street have pointed out a significant paradigm shift from Nvidia to Broadcom in the AI industry
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As AI models transition from their pre-training phases into logical reasoning stages, specialized chips such as Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs) may start to supersede general-purpose chips like GPUs, thereby becoming the preferred choice for leading AI companiesIf the predictions from Broadcom's CEO regarding the ASIC market hold true, analysts forecast that the company's AI-related ASIC business could see its growth double each year over the next three years.
Several top Wall Street analysts have recently shared their insights regarding Broadcom's performanceGoldman Sachs has initiated a 'buy' recommendation for Broadcom, raising its 12-month price target from $190 to $240. The rationale behind this bullish outlook rests on the influx of new major clients for customized chip products and the management's impressive execution post the $61 billion acquisition of VMware last year
Barclays has also lifted its target for Broadcom from $200 to $205, while Truist adjusted its target from $245 to $260, highlighting that while Nvidia's chips are essential for building infrastructure, the market sentiment acknowledges that other firms can also benefit significantly from this sectorThis year has already presented numerous instances of rotation among the 'Seven Sisters' in the tech industry.
Bokeh Capital Partners mentioned that Broadcom's recent disclosures could attract trend investors looking for faster-growing investment opportunitiesThis trend-driven investment momentum appears to support Broadcom’s stock performance, suggesting that it may maintain its position for the foreseeable futureHowever, trend investing inherently entails a constant search for better-performing assets.
The media has extensively analyzed Nvidia's recent performance, suggesting that its stock's lackluster showing could indicate that Wall Street is engaging in profit-taking after another stellar year
Presently, Nvidia is grappling with pressing concerns that cannot be overlookedDespite the overall market hitting new highs, Nvidia's performance has lagged behindThis trend, if it continues, could serve as a troubling warning signal about the competitive positioning of the company in the market.
Industry experts assert that the crucial price range for Nvidia lies between $125 and $130, serving as a vital testing zone for both Nvidia's stock and the overall market's trajectoryMovements within this price range will significantly impact Nvidia's future development, with investors closely monitoring these pivotal points.
Despite Nvidia’s struggles, the Nasdaq composite index demonstrated remarkable resilience and vitality on Monday, successfully achieving a historic new highThis performance highlights the diversity and inclusivity of the Nasdaq market, showcasing that even when certain star stocks experience corrections, the collective upward movement of numerous other stocks can still drive the index higher.
Within the semiconductor sector on Monday, aside from the heightened attention on Broadcom and Nvidia, other semiconductor stocks exhibited solid performances as well